Tennis · resolved market
ITF Dinard: Antonia Stoyanov vs Mavie Osterreicher
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0228f1dc962d5a324df57d9c6128a28bdddfeb08649d083c4f55c3df53727da0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Antonia Stoyanovof Antonia Stoyanov, Mavie Osterreicher
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Antonia Stoyanov | 75c | 646.75$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.95 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mavie Osterreicher | 24c | 579.32$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.04 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…c343backed Mavie Osterreicher | 22c | 525$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Antonia Stoyanov | 78c | 525$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Mavie Osterreicher | 20c | 500.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mavie Osterreicher | 25c | 480.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Antonia Stoyanov | 80c | 463.42$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.68 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Antonia Stoyanov | 76c | 174$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Antonia Stoyanov | 76c | 152.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Antonia Stoyanov | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb309…06d4backed Mavie Osterreicher | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Antonia Stoyanov | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mavie Osterreicher | 25c | 121.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Antonia Stoyanov | 74c | 89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Mavie Osterreicher | 26c | 89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Antonia Stoyanov | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…558bbacked Mavie Osterreicher | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Antonia Stoyanov | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6af1backed Mavie Osterreicher | 22c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Antonia Stoyanov | 76c | 74.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Antonia Stoyanov | 77c | 64.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Antonia Stoyanov | 74c | 48.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Antonia Stoyanov | 76c | 37.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Antonia Stoyanov | 80c | 36.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Antonia Stoyanov | 77c | 28.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…abeebacked Antonia Stoyanov | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.