CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ENCE (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0289ef6070b5b7f1315b401f7ee85a2f27398c30394bec20cb20da23d51def78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Entropyof ENCE, Entropy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked ENCE | 59c | 4,676$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.82 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Entropy | 41c | 1,992$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.39 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed ENCE | 59c | 1,554$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.61 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed ENCE | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Entropy | 39c | 997.56$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.25 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Entropy | 40c | 899.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Entropy | 37c | 665.37$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.29 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Entropy | 41c | 634.29$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.29 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1566backed Entropy | 39c | 630$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.3 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Entropy | 44c | 584.09$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.15 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed ENCE | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Entropy | 39c | 497.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.94 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…4002backed Entropy | 43c | 487.7$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Entropy | 41c | 398.39$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked ENCE | 44c | 321.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed ENCE | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Entropy | 36c | 285$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Entropy | 40c | 273.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 359 | 48.5%174 W · 185 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed ENCE | 60c | 261$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Entropy | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.13 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed ENCE | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed ENCE | 60c | 247.4$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.87 | 455 | 65.9%300 W · 155 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341c…f86fbacked Entropy | 44c | 205$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Entropy | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Entropy | 37c | 185$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ENCE | 56c | 175$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Entropy | 43c | 164.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ENCE | 56c | 158.59$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Entropy | 42c | 67.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…a764backed ENCE | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Entropy | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ENCE | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked ENCE | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Entropy | 39c | 38.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Entropy | 42c | 34.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed ENCE | 56c | 29.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Entropy | 43c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 350 | 43.1%151 W · 199 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked ENCE | 60c | 17.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ENCE (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group AENCE won
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy - Map 1 WinnerENCE won
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy - Map 2 WinnerEntropy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.