CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31b90a95e797d211aac322609ecf48b6d5182e0e898ce9c567bddd174ea64663
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ENCEof ENCE, Entropy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked ENCE | 66c | 4,269$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.19 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Entropy | 29c | 780.27$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.02 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Entropy | 34c | 510$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 359 | 48.5%174 W · 185 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Entropy | 29c | 361.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…7cc8backed Entropy | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…e759backed Entropy | 39c | 340.62$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Entropy | 39c | 313.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Entropy | 34c | 286.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Entropy | 36c | 270.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Entropy | 38c | 251.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Entropy | 32c | 238.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Entropy | 29c | 235.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc218…2c33backed Entropy | 41c | 214.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked ENCE | 61c | 206.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 198 | 57.6%114 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ENCE | 69c | 188.06$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Entropy | 23c | 181.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 142 | 42.3%60 W · 82 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Entropy | 38c | 162.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Entropy | 31c | 132.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Entropy | 46c | 127.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked ENCE | 71c | 109$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Entropy | 25c | 68.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Entropy | 28c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…bdebbacked ENCE | 76c | 55.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked ENCE | 64c | 51.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked ENCE | 53c | 44.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed ENCE | 46c | 44.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Entropy | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…db0abacked Entropy | 37c | 40.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…3366backed Entropy | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed ENCE | 63c | 33.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 455 | 65.9%300 W · 155 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed ENCE | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd2…345ebacked Entropy | 75c | 30.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ENCE | 61c | 30.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Entropy | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…9db8backed Entropy | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ENCE | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group AENCE won
- Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy - Map 2 WinnerEntropy won
- Map Handicap: ENCE (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5)Entropy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.