La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0292504553e0be307449069c6936743e348fe6becbc0190c4bbcae52c229030e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a4…7170backed No | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,799.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 43c | 9,495$4,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,082.99 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 46c | 9,154$4,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.34 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 55c | 6,666$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.55 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 5,477$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.79 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 4,173$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.26 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes | 54c | 3,924$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.04 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 54c | 1,857$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.46 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,217$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.31 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 47c | 970.44$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.45 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 47c | 860.91$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.43 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 54c | 776.7$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.28 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 14c | 722.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 54c | 457$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.22 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…e428backed No | 46c | 376.81$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 54c | 359.46$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 12c | 330$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 55c | 317.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 54c | 207.41$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.41 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 128.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…b387backed Yes | 54c | 111.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 21c | 111.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…7b4cbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 92.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1783…7180backed Yes | 57c | 55.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 54c | 52.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed No | 45c | 44.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ae…084fbacked No | 45c | 35.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 45c | 34.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…c0b5backed No | 45c | 33.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 54c | 31.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 59c | 30.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 75c | 30.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed No | 46c | 22.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Yes | 54c | 21.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will UD Almería vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.