Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. CSUN Matadors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02c9246a1f28530b8046a1a46355feff48bc3644fcf86d09f2b55a710ef354c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSUN Matadorsof Bakersfield Roadrunners, CSUN Matadors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 34c | 5,000$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked CSUN Matadors | 67c | 2,461$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.04 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 48c | 2,425$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 8c | 1,936$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked CSUN Matadors | 67c | 1,498$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.34 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed CSUN Matadors | 67c | 1,498$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.34 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed CSUN Matadors | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed CSUN Matadors | 56c | 949.92$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.99 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…cd4abacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 4c | 739.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked CSUN Matadors | 68c | 667.83$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 31c | 648.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.57 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed CSUN Matadors | 65c | 558.87$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 17c | 345.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 17c | 205.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728f…b55dbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 7c | 159.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 35c | 136.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 9c | 135.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…5888backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 35c | 114$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…9f40backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed CSUN Matadors | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed CSUN Matadors | 66c | 79.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed CSUN Matadors | 69c | 64.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…b98ebacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 32c | 61.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 35c | 56.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…d729backed CSUN Matadors | 70c | 54.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed CSUN Matadors | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked CSUN Matadors | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe210…7f77backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 34c | 39.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…8ed1backed CSUN Matadors | 68c | 33.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…67d7backed CSUN Matadors | 70c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e11…1dc5backed CSUN Matadors | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c8…f42cbacked CSUN Matadors | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked CSUN Matadors | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Bakersfield Roadrunners | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…d7dfbacked CSUN Matadors | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…3f6fbacked Bakersfield Roadrunners | 37c | 27.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ee…82d6backed CSUN Matadors | 63c | 27.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…a4a0backed CSUN Matadors | 68c | 23.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.