Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02e3c84e0a71d3a962dc20bf246c004f6c046ed7de687c17ed7adbb99ff3c2dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,083 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 52c | 18,052$9,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,736.27 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 53c | 10,934$5,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,156.19 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…9742backed Under | 47c | 9,976$4,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688.93 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 52c | 9,118$4,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,741.92 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 8,066$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.15 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 4,985$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.98 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 3,245$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Over | 53c | 2,767$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 46c | 2,003$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.58 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 47c | 1,570$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.25 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 981.88$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.82 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 54c | 827.3$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.58 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Under | 50c | 792.75$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Under | 47c | 624.31$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.42 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 53c | 561.1$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.72 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 494.75$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…5ec0backed Under | 57c | 396.57$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdc…60a4backed Over | 46c | 189.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 63c | 184.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 51c | 177.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 55c | 139.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 108.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Over | 79c | 90.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +827.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 50c | 89.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 86.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Under | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 54c | 59.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 47c | 56.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 52c | 55.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under | 48c | 53.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…c7bebacked Under | 59c | 46.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 30c | 46.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Under | 52c | 40.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 34c | 35.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 52c | 28.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 47c | 26.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Over | 49c | 21.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 142.5this page
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale BulldogsPenn Quakers won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 141.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 153.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 154.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 155.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 156.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 157.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 158.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 160.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-10.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-12.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-4.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-5.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-6.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-7.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-8.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-9.5)Penn Quakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.