Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d90bfd809bedcb1279c5140a14432f8affac9cd038071330ef54ea5493de78a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penn Quakersof Yale Bulldogs, Penn Quakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,991 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yale Bulldogs | 46c | 17,845$8,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,274.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Penn Quakers | 52c | 16,918$8,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,070.36 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Penn Quakers | 56c | 6,981$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.17 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 4,334$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.98 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Penn Quakers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Yale Bulldogs | 50c | 3,981$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.3 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yale Bulldogs | 47c | 1,558$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.14 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Penn Quakers | 50c | 941.75$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.88 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Penn Quakers | 75c | 923.27$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.73 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Penn Quakers | 52c | 699.54$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.22 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Yale Bulldogs | 51c | 686.56$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.38 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Penn Quakers | 53c | 497.81$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.97 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penn Quakers | 60c | 477.17$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yale Bulldogs | 51c | 400.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.12 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Penn Quakers | 48c | 288.64$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Penn Quakers | 50c | 276.64$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.15 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641a…e1a5backed Penn Quakers | 53c | 222.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yale Bulldogs | 28c | 206.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yale Bulldogs | 33c | 205.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Penn Quakers | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Penn Quakers | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 170.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 165.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Yale Bulldogs | 43c | 162.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Yale Bulldogs | 47c | 123.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yale Bulldogs | 47c | 117$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Penn Quakers | 49c | 114.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Penn Quakers | 66c | 109.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Yale Bulldogs | 39c | 105.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Yale Bulldogs | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Penn Quakers | 51c | 89.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yale Bulldogs | 40c | 85.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Penn Quakers | 56c | 73.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Penn Quakers | 62c | 66.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked Yale Bulldogs | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…18e6backed Penn Quakers | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yale Bulldogs | 49c | 51.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yale Bulldogs | 36c | 47.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Penn Quakers | 52c | 39.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…44a2backed Penn Quakers | 54c | 38.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Yale Bulldogs | 47c | 32.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penn Quakers | 56c | 26.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Penn Quakers | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-9.5)this page
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale BulldogsPenn Quakers won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 141.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 142.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 153.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 154.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 155.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 156.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 157.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 158.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 160.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-10.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-12.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-4.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-5.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-6.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-7.5)Penn Quakers won
- Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-8.5)Penn Quakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.