La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x037618121fc819faf6d5f0625dd105df49755865b5e3b1378f25e2e04cc15ed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 1c | 2,013$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 4c | 1,166$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 1,166$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.63 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 77c | 1,089$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.43 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 42c | 518$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 41c | 459$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.19 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 31c | 410.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 58c | 398.79$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.03 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 58c | 389$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 4c | 335.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 77c | 316.3$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 58c | 206.61$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed No | 23c | 192.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Yes | 78c | 186.01$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 58c | 166.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 42c | 149.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 56c | 121.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 10c | 112.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 44c | 108.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…7f67backed Yes | 59c | 82.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 57c | 79.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 42c | 68.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed No | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked No | 40c | 66.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 59c | 66.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed64…6103backed Yes | 59c | 63.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 75c | 63.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 74c | 61.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 44c | 61.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 58c | 58.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 59c | 57.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 58c | 50.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 42c | 47.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…ee84backed Yes | 58c | 47.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…980fbacked Yes | 78c | 45.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…377abacked No | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 42.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 55c | 42.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 55c | 40.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe314…fa2cbacked Yes | 69c | 38.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 59c | 36.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 56c | 31.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 41c | 29.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 58c | 28.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8da8…c0eabacked Yes | 58c | 28.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6b…670cbacked Yes | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 59c | 25.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 77c | 21.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…52aabacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 77c | 15.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-17?this page
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-04-17?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.