Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: by Owl Club vs Ramzes Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03c0156e67478777021e3c9af549f279cdf237ab8977a62a452d2001cc84ac2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ramzes Clubof by Owl Club, Ramzes Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Ramzes Club | 77c | 442.73$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed by Owl Club | 33c | 376.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Ramzes Club | 66c | 289.16$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Ramzes Club | 68c | 199.55$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Ramzes Club | 76c | 147.52$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked by Owl Club | 49c | 146.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Ramzes Club | 33c | 140.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed by Owl Club | 34c | 121.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Ramzes Club | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 57cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…b24fbacked by Owl Club | 58c | 96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Ramzes Club | 71c | 84.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked by Owl Club | 31c | 84.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8875…7548backed by Owl Club | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked by Owl Club | 36c | 78.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed by Owl Club | 54c | 65.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked by Owl Club | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed by Owl Club | 64c | 44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Ramzes Club | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Ramzes Club | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed by Owl Club | 53c | 33.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Ramzes Club | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked by Owl Club | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ramzes Club | 60c | 19.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…33b5backed by Owl Club | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: by Owl Club vs Ramzes Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group Athis page
- Dota 2: by Owl Club vs Ramzes Club - Game 1 Winnerby Owl Club won
- Dota 2: by Owl Club vs Ramzes Club - Game 2 WinnerRamzes Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.