Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. Noah FA end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03d4f195a87733d2e11578b3e909311593b7abe2080f608aed122e2675290c59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 3,333$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.74 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 26c | 1,908$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 75c | 881.03$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.31 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 25c | 637.37$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.34 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 73c | 391.59$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 25c | 335$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 26c | 104.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 26c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Yes | 26c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 25c | 57.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 76c | 54.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 73c | 39.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked No | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked No | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed No | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed No | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. Noah FA end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-12-18?Yes won
- Will Noah FA win on 2025-12-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.