Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x041d78adaacd910b43e42b23e4ae1b057cf1a3c81b8bb0a987c69c136745749a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof VP.Prodigy, Inner Circle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed VP.Prodigy | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Inner Circle | 72c | 1,286$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.38 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Inner Circle | 71c | 884.34$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.46 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle | 74c | 508.06$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Inner Circle | 71c | 469.15$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Inner Circle | 69c | 384.51$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 322.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VP.Prodigy | 28c | 298.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked VP.Prodigy | 31c | 297.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle | 71c | 149.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…1732backed Inner Circle | 69c | 145.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed VP.Prodigy | 30c | 101.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973a…52eabacked VP.Prodigy | 31c | 98.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed VP.Prodigy | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…2dcabacked VP.Prodigy | 30c | 62.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked VP.Prodigy | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked VP.Prodigy | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed VP.Prodigy | 26c | 46.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Inner Circle | 69c | 40.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Inner Circle | 71c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Inner Circle | 71c | 39.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Inner Circle | 69c | 38.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 32.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 18.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Inner Circle - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Inner Circle - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.