Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Belle Thompson vs Destanee Aiava
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0430afffca3fe6db4ba5dc2ebbc5f23e702e2745b1dd657ac4b1f351896353f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Destanee Aiavaof Belle Thompson, Destanee Aiava
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Belle Thompson | 18c | 9,986$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.14 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Belle Thompson | 17c | 7,560$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.08 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Belle Thompson | 9c | 6,870$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.53 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Belle Thompson | 20c | 2,610$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Belle Thompson | 16c | 2,048$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.77 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…e940backed Destanee Aiava | 72c | 1,409$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Belle Thompson | 21c | 1,163$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.04 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Belle Thompson | 19c | 589.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Belle Thompson | 20c | 515.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d8…4cf8backed Destanee Aiava | 80c | 468.43$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Belle Thompson | 20c | 449.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Belle Thompson | 17c | 422$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Belle Thompson | 20c | 406.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…082bbacked Destanee Aiava | 77c | 388.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Belle Thompson | 17c | 340$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Belle Thompson | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Belle Thompson | 33c | 291.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Belle Thompson | 13c | 229.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Belle Thompson | 21c | 140.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Destanee Aiava | 76c | 138.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Belle Thompson | 20c | 59.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc70…2194backed Destanee Aiava | 67c | 58.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Destanee Aiava | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Destanee Aiava | 79c | 26.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…da71backed Destanee Aiava | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…be94backed Destanee Aiava | 79c | 20.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…6c4fbacked Destanee Aiava | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…61dabacked Destanee Aiava | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd726…0d91backed Destanee Aiava | 78c | 12.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.