Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: RIZON vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x048f8d90a6e8c67c13a73554daef5e5cdac6b36b6c5095e5e261a1fb9494fd49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof RIZON, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked RIZON | 25c | 1,142$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.86 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FOKUS | 78c | 979.82$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.06 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FOKUS | 60c | 482.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked RIZON | 16c | 346.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FOKUS | 70c | 270.71$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked RIZON | 28c | 246.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked FOKUS | 68c | 243.02$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RIZON | 30c | 184$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FOKUS | 73c | 182$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS | 77c | 141.48$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked RIZON | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked RIZON | 41c | 85.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked FOKUS | 72c | 73.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed RIZON | 18c | 57.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed RIZON | 26c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FOKUS | 46c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed RIZON | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed RIZON | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed RIZON | 41c | 25.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked FOKUS | 71c | 23.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked FOKUS | 72c | 19.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed FOKUS | 73c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: RIZON vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: RIZON vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group StageFOKUS won
- Valorant: RIZON vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.