Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d524cfec330a537af2db8de1e0cf168ef70176f812265809c889b39cff917c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 46c | 4,779$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.32 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,362$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 49c | 2,342$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.64 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 2,130$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.59 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 54c | 1,351$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.26 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 42c | 965.2$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.38 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 35c | 932.91$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.97 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 35c | 929.45$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.67 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 772.26$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.24 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 573.64$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 424.77$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 46c | 365.79$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 54c | 360.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.66 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 319.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 57c | 299.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 58c | 273.79$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 265.04$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 30c | 225.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 63c | 209.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b39…65adbacked Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 56c | 86.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 57c | 85.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 76c | 85.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 83.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 61c | 83.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…b96cbacked Over | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 44c | 65.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…57c7backed Under | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 54c | 47.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 44.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5c…1cf7backed Over | 38c | 43.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Over | 36c | 37.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 54c | 34.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over | 55c | 33.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 54c | 27.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b9…243fbacked Under | 55c | 26.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Under | 64c | 19.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.