Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbac5724bcd2fef0449e52412fc04541c8105facc69c6c2d9fa6a72d3bd753d77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 1,193$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.19 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 1,031$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 64c | 764.38$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.18 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 63c | 499.94$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.98 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 63c | 499.94$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.98 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 400.09$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 65c | 354.75$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 36c | 333.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 16c | 294.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 36c | 215.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 63c | 211.59$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 58c | 194.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 64c | 151.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 37c | 134.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 37c | 134.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 37c | 134.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 37c | 134.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 61c | 127$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 123.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 116.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 64c | 114.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 37c | 104.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 37c | 104.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…42a7backed Over | 67c | 98.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 57c | 84.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 53c | 50.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 36c | 48.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99a…1f3ebacked Under | 37c | 41.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 64c | 40.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 64c | 34.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…af0cbacked Over | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 75c | 26.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…d93dbacked Over | 67c | 21.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 68c | 18.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-2.5)FC Midtjylland won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.