CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0519c745545be34578e81571a144c2da0e07b755d3424d9d3ed05877bc1f1527
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Turma do Pagodeof ALKA, Turma do Pagode
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e18…872ebacked Turma do Pagode | 67c | 897.13$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.13 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Turma do Pagode | 64c | 689.23$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.35 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Turma do Pagode | 55c | 644.56$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.2 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked ALKA | 33c | 557.08$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.84 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed ALKA | 40c | 500.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…b03abacked ALKA | 36c | 359$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Turma do Pagode | 64c | 310.93$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked ALKA | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…7ed6backed ALKA | 37c | 262.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed ALKA | 34c | 235.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed ALKA | 11c | 119.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 373 | 46.1%172 W · 201 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ALKA | 41c | 115.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ALKA | 17c | 94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ALKA | 37c | 93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed ALKA | 42c | 85.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 231 | 50.2%116 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed ALKA | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ALKA | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ALKA | 44c | 41.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Turma do Pagode | 63c | 31.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked Turma do Pagode | 63c | 31.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…9913backed Turma do Pagode | 63c | 22.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsTurma do Pagode won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TdP (-1.5) vs ALKA GAMING (+1.5)ALKA GAMING won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.