CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d1dd5cbadbee7167f750c3bae3ba023516a6ae530a3c1bdeedbede68b18b846
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof ALKA, Turma do Pagode
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Turma do Pagode | 7c | 1,236$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed ALKA | 44c | 627.47$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.88 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Turma do Pagode | 56c | 461.39$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.3 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Turma do Pagode | 41c | 384.64$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.73 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ALKA | 69c | 240$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Turma do Pagode | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ALKA | 35c | 172.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.82 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed ALKA | 41c | 160$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed ALKA | 59c | 126.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked ALKA | 45c | 118.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Turma do Pagode | 63c | 107.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ALKA | 80c | 107$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Turma do Pagode | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ALKA | 60c | 91.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Turma do Pagode | 41c | 79.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Turma do Pagode | 39c | 74.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Turma do Pagode | 65c | 72.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ALKA | 60c | 71.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ALKA | 41c | 67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Turma do Pagode | 25c | 66.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA | 60c | 64.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Turma do Pagode | 34c | 62.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed ALKA | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Turma do Pagode | 47c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ALKA | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ALKA | 72c | 51.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Turma do Pagode | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Turma do Pagode | 73c | 45.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Turma do Pagode | 61c | 43.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 231 | 50.2%116 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Turma do Pagode | 37c | 41.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked ALKA | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 170 | 68.2%116 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed ALKA | 66c | 39.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked ALKA | 58c | 38.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ba…a35dbacked ALKA | 73c | 33.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ALKA | 39c | 32.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ALKA | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ALKA | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…9913backed Turma do Pagode | 65c | 22.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsTurma do Pagode won
- Counter-Strike: ALKA vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 WinnerTurma do Pagode won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TdP (-1.5) vs ALKA GAMING (+1.5)ALKA GAMING won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.