La Liga · resolved market
CD Mirandés vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0522f98ef9138cf0a4ec623d2b4b891131fdd61eeccc5c27a8a3dd28cea7fdef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 3,914$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.35 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 43c | 719.95$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.58 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 320.23$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 20c | 300$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 282.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 226.41$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 225.81$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 49c | 207.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…2641backed Under | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 56c | 120.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 44c | 120.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 118$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 52c | 111.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 16c | 111.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Over | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 52c | 58.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 50c | 39.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 36.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Under | 50c | 34.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 48c | 32.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 30.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…7be7backed Under | 54c | 22.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 59c | 20.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 79c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Mirandés vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Mirandés vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Mirandés vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Mirandés vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CD Mirandés (-2.5)SD Eibar won
- Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)CD Mirandés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.