Tennis · resolved market
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Matteo Martineau
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x054343c9d16209b06bfd61c5f6802d45351adfc24733337dfe09433f88c02ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tristan Boyerof Tristan Boyer, Matteo Martineau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Martineau | 14c | 8,329$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.16 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Tristan Boyer | 70c | 6,286$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.71 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Matteo Martineau | 31c | 2,883$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.18 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Matteo Martineau | 20c | 1,400$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tristan Boyer | 70c | 1,222$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.42 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Matteo Martineau | 16c | 914.93$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Martineau | 30c | 899.17$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.92 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Matteo Martineau | 12c | 457.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Matteo Martineau | 29c | 439.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Tristan Boyer | 71c | 416.65$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…2f04backed Tristan Boyer | 72c | 363.03$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Matteo Martineau | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Matteo Martineau | 32c | 303.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Tristan Boyer | 71c | 263.41$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Tristan Boyer | 77c | 236.67$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matteo Martineau | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Tristan Boyer | 75c | 165.89$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Tristan Boyer | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Matteo Martineau | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Tristan Boyer | 71c | 100.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Matteo Martineau | 33c | 73.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Tristan Boyer | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Matteo Martineau | 16c | 69.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Matteo Martineau | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Tristan Boyer | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Tristan Boyer | 71c | 45.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Tristan Boyer | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Matteo Martineau | 29c | 36.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Tristan Boyer | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Tristan Boyer | 74c | 26.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Tristan Boyer | 77c | 25.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.