Asian League · resolved market
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0551838bfafc82431595e287d97650f89741cace573d3600eb558033772698e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 3,116$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.66 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 28c | 1,771$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.87 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 1,691$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.34 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,661$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.64 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,322$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.64 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 27c | 784.76$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…ff4bbacked Yes | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Yes | 27c | 603.7$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 388.68$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 375.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes | 28c | 222.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 204.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 120.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 74c | 114$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 98.51$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…4fe5backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed No | 75c | 69.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 28c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 44.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 75c | 28.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-10?Yes won
- Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.