South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0560a22f829eeb9f286459d22c25bfdafc2f519d23f12fe1b082a03f753c1fb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 4,138$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.18 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 29c | 3,912$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.23 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 18c | 2,039$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.54 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 1,602$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.27 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 826.15$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.88 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 756.53$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.22 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 35c | 338.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 333.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 302.92$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 36c | 296$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 284$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 66c | 215.13$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 69c | 180.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 177.13$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 71c | 176.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 26c | 162.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 74c | 153.87$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 66c | 151.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.61 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 71c | 83.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e38…3cf1backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed No | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 73c | 50.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 30c | 49.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 75c | 48.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 34c | 42.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 34c | 36.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 70c | 34.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 63c | 26.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 71c | 16.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.