South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50e2082b2d43d41cf26704dd9a40c173d06bc1f81dfbb44b0457c30f0c2f1fce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 31c | 2,354$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.9 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 2,217$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.23 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 1,497$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.23 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 68c | 1,277$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.03 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 13c | 1,042$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,033$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.56 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,027$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.34 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 34c | 555$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 408.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 31c | 399.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 31c | 378.1$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 65c | 310.07$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 33c | 294.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 193.66$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 32c | 184.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 65c | 144$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Yes | 32c | 143.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed No | 64c | 138.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 77c | 128.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 126$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 33c | 119.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 29c | 98.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 67c | 73.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 67c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked No | 68c | 71.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Yes | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 31c | 40.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 67c | 40.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 33.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 73c | 32.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 19.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.