South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x163f860c19a04b3b8985f7dc80632ec67c3b43b159c0ff84e29ca35d4a4a9e83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 20,606$11,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,646.12 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 42c | 17,075$7,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,108.26 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 51c | 10,434$5,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,284.61 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 32c | 5,833$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.11 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 35c | 3,992$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.32 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 46c | 1,876$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.9 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 1,143$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.21 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 69c | 1,116$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.23 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 58c | 1,112$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.01 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 735$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 65c | 497.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 57c | 491.42$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 41c | 362.69$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.99 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 312.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.48 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 60c | 210$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 68c | 174.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 47c | 144.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Yes | 33c | 142.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 60c | 142.31$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 58c | 135.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed No | 68c | 108$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 68c | 81.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 52c | 72.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 59c | 62.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 63c | 60.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 68c | 35.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 68c | 33.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…b6d3backed Yes | 59c | 28.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 68c | 22.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-07-26?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.