Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05baa0231c133a7f9fb1fe2f018fa5b8de66c4945e502a9e7fa0d7475671ef7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Cheeki_Breeki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 5,129$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.32 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Cheeki_Breeki | 36c | 4,360$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.32 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Cheeki_Breeki | 42c | 1,834$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.8 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Cheeki_Breeki | 34c | 1,647$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.55 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,568$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.39 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 13c | 1,022$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 39c | 1,007$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.78 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 992$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 755.6$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.43 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 390.88$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.53 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 367.11$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.75 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 322.79$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Cheeki_Breeki | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 33c | 285.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 42c | 275.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.82 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Cheeki_Breeki | 36c | 271.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 257.42$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Cheeki_Breeki | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 233.2$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 227.9$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Cheeki_Breeki | 45c | 209.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 198.08$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 38c | 189.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 174.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 129.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Cheeki_Breeki | 21c | 125.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 113.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Cheeki_Breeki | 38c | 106.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…c16fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 100.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Cheeki_Breeki | 36c | 95.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 94.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 88.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Cheeki_Breeki | 14c | 85.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 65.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Cheeki_Breeki | 42c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 50.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 49.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 48.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Cheeki_Breeki | 27c | 47.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Cheeki_Breeki | 29c | 46.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 45.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Cheeki_Breeki | 48c | 41.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…c2f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 39.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 39.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed Cheeki_Breeki | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 38.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 37c | 38.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Cheeki_Breeki | 31c | 36.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Cheeki_Breeki | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 14.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Cheeki_Breeki - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Cheeki_Breeki (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.