Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Team Liquid Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05c5aebe51cb49761c7ff3647f29dc008324896d2d6537023f3e8342087e4948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Team Liquid Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Misa Esports | 69c | 1,487$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.95 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid Academy | 12c | 621.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 545.73$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.95 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Liquid Academy | 48c | 421$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.09 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Liquid Academy | 47c | 400$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid Academy | 46c | 400$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Liquid Academy | 40c | 374.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed Misa Esports | 64c | 310.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Team Liquid Academy | 48c | 238.68$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.57 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Liquid Academy | 26c | 234$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 76c | 223.85$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Liquid Academy | 21c | 203.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Team Liquid Academy | 27c | 201.27$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Liquid Academy | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 62c | 186.26$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Misa Esports | 45c | 183.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid Academy | 49c | 181.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Misa Esports | 62c | 173.2$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 158.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Liquid Academy | 22c | 154.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Liquid Academy | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Team Liquid Academy | 25c | 147.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Team Liquid Academy | 27c | 137.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Team Liquid Academy | 18c | 132.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 49c | 118.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Misa Esports | 38c | 105.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Liquid Academy | 51c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Liquid Academy | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid Academy | 25c | 78.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Team Liquid Academy | 57c | 61.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Liquid Academy | 36c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Team Liquid Academy | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…d785backed Team Liquid Academy | 47c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed Team Liquid Academy | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Team Liquid Academy | 30c | 41.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Team Liquid Academy | 46c | 40.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…e324backed Team Liquid Academy | 48c | 35.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…8593backed Team Liquid Academy | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Misa Esports | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d7…a1ffbacked Misa Esports | 42c | 30.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Team Liquid Academy | 58c | 30.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Misa Esports | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Misa Esports | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed Team Liquid Academy | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Team Liquid Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Team Liquid Academy (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group DMisa Esports won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Team Liquid Academy - Map 1 WinnerTeam Liquid Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.