Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan (Poland), clay: Campana Lee Gerard vs Filip Pieczonka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05c703af68771c385680116c121a5284b620ccf205d352b4a0fb5df2c0b19be0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filip Pieczonkaof Campana Lee Gerard, Filip Pieczonka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Campana Lee Gerard | 18c | 2,169$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 5,031 | 38.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L | -20.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafef…f50ebacked Filip Pieczonka | 29c | 1,530$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.3 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Campana Lee Gerard | 70c | 913.22$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.14 | 4,523 | 51.7%2,340 W · 2,183 L | +135.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Filip Pieczonka | 67c | 724.37$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.37 | 1,115 | 60.3%672 W · 443 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Campana Lee Gerard | 76c | 529.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 407 | 56%228 W · 179 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Filip Pieczonka | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 501 | 56.9%285 W · 216 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Filip Pieczonka | 69c | 489.7$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Campana Lee Gerard | 41c | 394.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.41 | 726 | 38.3%278 W · 448 L | -34.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Campana Lee Gerard | 59c | 333.44$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 877 | 38.2%335 W · 542 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Filip Pieczonka | 71c | 325.98$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 1,112 | 57.9%644 W · 468 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Campana Lee Gerard | 32c | 299.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Campana Lee Gerard | 22c | 296.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 123 | 26.8%33 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…ee8ebacked Campana Lee Gerard | 36c | 274.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Campana Lee Gerard | 34c | 271.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Campana Lee Gerard | 47c | 214.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Filip Pieczonka | 35c | 193.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 536 | 47%252 W · 284 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Campana Lee Gerard | 20c | 161$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Campana Lee Gerard | 29c | 151.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Campana Lee Gerard | 28c | 59.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Filip Pieczonka | 70c | 57.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Campana Lee Gerard | 33c | 53.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 892 | 37.2%332 W · 560 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Campana Lee Gerard | 28c | 50.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Filip Pieczonka | 75c | 34.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Campana Lee Gerard | 41c | 34.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 344 | 48.8%168 W · 176 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…2181backed Campana Lee Gerard | 30c | 34.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Filip Pieczonka | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Filip Pieczonka | 68c | 21.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 422 | 60.9%257 W · 165 L | +35.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Filip Pieczonka | 68c | 21.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 343 | 63.8%219 W · 124 L | +38.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Filip Pieczonka | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 843 | 57.3%483 W · 360 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Filip Pieczonka | 68c | 19.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 413 | 57.9%239 W · 174 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Filip Pieczonka | 68c | 16.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 480 | 59.4%285 W · 195 L | +28.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.