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Commodities · resolved market

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 24 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1018…7264backed Yes6c1,041$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8232135.2%113 W · 208 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f3…844ebacked Yes19c826.17$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3231738.8%123 W · 194 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x969f…4d55backed No66c734.21$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.6112051.7%62 W · 58 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x403f…94f1backed Yes35c599.56$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0923044.3%102 W · 128 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19c…de6bbacked No75c539.03$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-55.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99287.1%2 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-82.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes22c262.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.961,32224%317 W · 1,005 L-64.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedc8…3296backed No69c217$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2726261.5%161 W · 101 L+23.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes34c166.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3813130.5%40 W · 91 L-19.3wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes33c148.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.231,08335%379 W · 704 L-94.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed No70c90$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276955.1%38 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…852abacked Yes33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e33…fe0bbacked Yes46c65.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x813f…26ecbacked Yes31c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44959.2%29 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x468b…68a5backed No49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.224100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x442c…3db8backed No76c32.74$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd886…1746backed No67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+35.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24e8…4546backed No69c19.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.121650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ae4…aa6dbacked No64c19.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.