Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 24 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf93c46c5abd0b3e599bdfd4ad71b89a14229d5b3aecaa3a3df57a20aa4d79193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,953$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.84 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…efd6backed Yes | 59c | 1,200$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.07 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 66c | 1,077$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.62 | 321 | 35.2%113 W · 208 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 999.99$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.99 | 971 | 40.3%391 W · 580 L | -73.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed No | 48c | 883.51$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.45 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…94f1backed Yes | 44c | 824.42$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.62 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…a301backed Yes | 17c | 361.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.43 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +15.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed No | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 47c | 281.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.15 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -19.3wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 66c | 194.31$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x065d…a672backed Yes | 23c | 172.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 73c | 139.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb811…7f7dbacked No | 77c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 16c | 112.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 1,322 | 24%317 W · 1,005 L | -64.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked No | 42c | 87.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 48c | 84.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…852abacked No | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a5…d2d9backed Yes | 46c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd886…1746backed Yes | 47c | 64.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…ded2backed Yes | 28c | 60.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked No | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 22c | 49.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 203 | 23.6%48 W · 155 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 29c | 40.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef0…e28ebacked Yes | 34c | 40.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ee…724cbacked No | 34c | 38.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 66c | 36.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,083 | 35%379 W · 704 L | -94.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 34c | 33.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Yes | 53c | 31.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…5f6abacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 47c | 27.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed Yes | 58c | 25.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 79c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 55cpaid | +179.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 24 2026?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of August 24 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 24 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 24 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of August 24 2026?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of August 24 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.