Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Omega
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05e701c8a3966f34c658157922a16ea59de0e21dcb83ebc91ca1a2cea2e75937
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ULF Esportsof Natus Vincere, ULF Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 5,759$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.38 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 5,438$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.86 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ULF Esports | 44c | 2,534$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.29 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed ULF Esports | 44c | 2,500$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.23 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,847$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.66 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked ULF Esports | 44c | 1,689$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.63 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ULF Esports | 43c | 1,530$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.23 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,312$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.61 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,057$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.36 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…c5f6backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 751.07$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed ULF Esports | 43c | 558.14$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.14 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed ULF Esports | 44c | 549.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.98 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed ULF Esports | 43c | 518.6$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed ULF Esports | 60c | 514$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed ULF Esports | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed ULF Esports | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed ULF Esports | 45c | 381.8$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed ULF Esports | 44c | 345.19$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.19 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 320.22$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed ULF Esports | 44c | 311.61$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed ULF Esports | 43c | 297.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.53 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 281.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked ULF Esports | 44c | 260.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ULF Esports | 44c | 258.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 252.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed ULF Esports | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed ULF Esports | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed ULF Esports | 43c | 197.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.39 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked ULF Esports | 40c | 188.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 174.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked ULF Esports | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed ULF Esports | 72c | 169.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 148.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked ULF Esports | 46c | 129$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 119$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc0…a854backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 116.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…9b64backed ULF Esports | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 115.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 109.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked ULF Esports | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 96.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 94.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…553bbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…f0c6backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ULF Esports | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 59.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 59.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…74c8backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 49.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…496abacked ULF Esports | 75c | 47.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed ULF Esports | 45c | 40.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…881cbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…5facbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 31.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed ULF Esports | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ULF Esports | 67c | 27.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd05…2d29backed ULF Esports | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…ceafbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 27.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb13…6c14backed ULF Esports | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked ULF Esports | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.