Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hillcrest: Ofek Shimanov vs Devin Badenhorst
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05f4f819f72c879adbd47b41f160a6f0e93a5ac2ea5f23628aa46035671513c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devin Badenhorstof Ofek Shimanov, Devin Badenhorst
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ofek Shimanov | 25c | 2,460$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.56 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Devin Badenhorst | 76c | 2,249$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.12 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ofek Shimanov | 22c | 895.24$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.64 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Devin Badenhorst | 71c | 692$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.54 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Devin Badenhorst | 76c | 506.58$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Ofek Shimanov | 22c | 360.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ofek Shimanov | 25c | 256$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Ofek Shimanov | 58c | 225.34$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ofek Shimanov | 24c | 211$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 126$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 119.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ofek Shimanov | 24c | 105.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ofek Shimanov | 25c | 99.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…1ae2backed Ofek Shimanov | 24c | 84.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa342…4565backed Ofek Shimanov | 25c | 80.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Devin Badenhorst | 76c | 72.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ofek Shimanov | 22c | 67.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Devin Badenhorst | 45c | 65.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Devin Badenhorst | 75c | 64.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3119…fac2backed Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 50.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Devin Badenhorst | 76c | 48.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 47.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…974fbacked Devin Badenhorst | 79c | 46.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Devin Badenhorst | 70c | 44.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7657…da52backed Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 39.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…948fbacked Devin Badenhorst | 77c | 31.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Ofek Shimanov | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ofek Shimanov | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Ofek Shimanov | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ofek Shimanov | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Devin Badenhorst | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…aeb3backed Devin Badenhorst | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe24…3919backed Devin Badenhorst | 79c | 18.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.