Tennis · resolved market
Les Sables d'Olonne: Anna Siskova vs Jessika Ponchet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06018c688729c1b4467acb87a9332272796c3a46196c1c5c40c1f70e81281bd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siskovaof Siskova, Ponchet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ponchet | 7c | 10,760$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.55 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ponchet | 5c | 3,094$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Ponchet | 28c | 2,648$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Siskova | 72c | 2,120$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.73 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ponchet | 25c | 664$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.77 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Siskova | 57c | 621.45$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.22 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ponchet | 2c | 620$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Siskova | 63c | 572.44$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.44 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Siskova | 59c | 529$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.89 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Ponchet | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ponchet | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Ponchet | 41c | 305.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ponchet | 48c | 304.21$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Ponchet | 12c | 242.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Siskova | 57c | 227.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Ponchet | 44c | 226.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Ponchet | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Ponchet | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Siskova | 48c | 179.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Siskova | 77c | 130.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Ponchet | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Siskova | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Ponchet | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…7372backed Ponchet | 20c | 97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Ponchet | 51c | 96.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Ponchet | 47c | 93.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Siskova | 57c | 75.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Ponchet | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ponchet | 20c | 71.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Siskova | 48c | 60.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Siskova | 55c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Siskova | 72c | 58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Ponchet | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Siskova | 53c | 47.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Ponchet | 49c | 40.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ponchet | 41c | 40.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Siskova | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Ponchet | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…c695backed Ponchet | 43c | 36.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Siskova | 51c | 31.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ponchet | 40c | 31.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Siskova | 58c | 30.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Siskova | 53c | 30.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…54f4backed Ponchet | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Siskova | 70c | 20.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Siskova | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…159ebacked Siskova | 78c | 14.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.