CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0619ad35f7e7b2fe0f7dd802d50d1ff44ab4f027ca6b6d380d2155ffb5967e8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 52c | 109,367$56,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,742.1 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Under | 48c | 57,762$27,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,036.32 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 49c | 8,260$4,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.6 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 48c | 5,906$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.25 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5475…c3dcbacked Under | 48c | 5,888$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 48c | 5,150$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 48c | 5,084$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,643.57 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 48c | 4,554$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.17 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 48c | 2,955$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.6 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…fab1backed Under | 49c | 2,101$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…9c02backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Under | 49c | 1,294$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.94 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Under | 48c | 1,152$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.92 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…fc1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,054$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 965.97$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 48c | 931.12$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.12 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 35c | 870.49$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.44 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Under | 48c | 700$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 48c | 683.44$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.39 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…ad64backed Under | 48c | 493.75$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 48c | 480.27$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.74 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Under | 49c | 295.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 55c | 252.65$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 71c | 234.47$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…3c68backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…f4b7backed Under | 48c | 95.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 52c | 86.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 48c | 82.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…bf4ebacked Under | 48c | 55.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Under | 61c | 48.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…e6f4backed Under | 54c | 35.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 63c | 32.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…9e5bbacked Over | 53c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Over | 52c | 27.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Over | 52c | 26.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Over | 48c | 21.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.