Premier League · resolved market
Leeds United vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06586c3bb977966c443023a6ec7716df56216bed2427f6d74db9c01dd1013ce9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e5f…b874backed Yes | 53c | 23,806$12,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,188.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3300…00d7backed No | 47c | 23,744$11,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,159.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…262dbacked No | 47c | 23,436$11,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,014.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…a49ebacked Yes | 53c | 23,379$12,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,988.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 3,201$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.11 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,758$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.88 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Yes | 54c | 1,479$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 46c | 856.1$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.81 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…d90dbacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 46c | 443.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.23 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 45c | 294.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 54c | 246.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 46c | 198.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 159$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…18edbacked Yes | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 47c | 125.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Yes | 76c | 63.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 49c | 63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked No | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…378bbacked Yes | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 54c | 40.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf697…a0dbbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…2483backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…1d42backed Yes | 70c | 20.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…f12fbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb0…e72abacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 54c | 18.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leeds United vs. Aston Villa: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Leeds United vs. Aston Villa: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Aston Villa (-1.5)Leeds United won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.