Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Auger-Aliassime vs. Duckworth
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x066adc83194bbee6b705199d20f8c1579360f4d873cf342f231cdacd342abb1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Duckworth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Duckworth | 7c | 11,225$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.88 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Duckworth | 15c | 4,398$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.58 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Auger-Aliassime | 74c | 1,190$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.14 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Duckworth | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.7 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 72c | 815.56$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.42 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Auger-Aliassime | 72c | 800$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Duckworth | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Duckworth | 34c | 788.14$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 67c | 748.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 78c | 647.08$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Duckworth | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Duckworth | 14c | 514.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Duckworth | 21c | 465.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Auger-Aliassime | 66c | 414.42$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Duckworth | 28c | 379$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 358.94$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.18 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…38adbacked Duckworth | 30c | 307.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 301.95$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…5607backed Auger-Aliassime | 73c | 202.08$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Duckworth | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Duckworth | 39c | 150.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Duckworth | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Duckworth | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Duckworth | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Duckworth | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Auger-Aliassime | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 22.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 22.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…063bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 22.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Auger-Aliassime | 56c | 22.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.