Tennis · resolved market
ITF Los Angeles: Jack Satterfield vs Spencer Johnson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06c02dfb5ab9a3bb7479748fe751f8a0aa502a29247c1afca39ef3a13cfb2c59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spencer Johnsonof Jack Satterfield, Spencer Johnson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Spencer Johnson | 75c | 7,201$5,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.63 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Jack Satterfield | 21c | 1,601$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.98 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Jack Satterfield | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…61f1backed Jack Satterfield | 17c | 786.65$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.73 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Jack Satterfield | 24c | 777$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jack Satterfield | 22c | 756.79$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.87 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jack Satterfield | 20c | 664.21$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.24 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jack Satterfield | 21c | 599.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spencer Johnson | 79c | 513.08$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Jack Satterfield | 19c | 414.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Jack Satterfield | 20c | 260$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Jack Satterfield | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jack Satterfield | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Jack Satterfield | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jack Satterfield | 24c | 168.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Jack Satterfield | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Jack Satterfield | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa276…dcfabacked Spencer Johnson | 78c | 129.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Jack Satterfield | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Spencer Johnson | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Jack Satterfield | 17c | 61.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…2191backed Spencer Johnson | 76c | 57.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Jack Satterfield | 24c | 51.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spencer Johnson | 60c | 21.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Spencer Johnson | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…5821backed Spencer Johnson | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.