Tennis · resolved market
Athens Open: Tereza Valentova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06dbb5fe41730727bf49311cd16171b1091f3fd74417560da74041d32643fbf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tereza Valentovaof Tereza Valentova, Aliaksandra Sasnovich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 10c | 4,959$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.52 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 1c | 3,435$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 16c | 3,166$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.48 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 15c | 2,506$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.35 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Tereza Valentova | 66c | 1,612$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.8 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 2c | 1,583$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 173 | 23.7%41 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 28c | 1,270$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.32 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 34c | 1,047$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.56 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 1c | 808.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Tereza Valentova | 69c | 739.13$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.13 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 31c | 735.8$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.1 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Tereza Valentova | 66c | 725.17$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.68 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 38c | 640.35$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.33 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 39c | 557.65$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.68 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Tereza Valentova | 65c | 432.85$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 32c | 368.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Tereza Valentova | 66c | 363.89$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.19 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 19c | 336.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 16c | 288.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dd5abacked Tereza Valentova | 73c | 275.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 175 | 54.3%95 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 12c | 263.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Tereza Valentova | 68c | 260$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 22c | 251.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 22c | 236.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 31c | 203.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Tereza Valentova | 67c | 197.45$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 36c | 157.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 25c | 148.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Tereza Valentova | 73c | 147.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Tereza Valentova | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tereza Valentova | 67c | 92.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 33c | 89.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Tereza Valentova | 67c | 89.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 20c | 74.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Tereza Valentova | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746c…36aabacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 33c | 58.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Tereza Valentova | 63c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Tereza Valentova | 68c | 45.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Tereza Valentova | 63c | 40.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Tereza Valentova | 73c | 39.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tereza Valentova | 68c | 32.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Tereza Valentova | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Tereza Valentova | 68c | 30.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Tereza Valentova | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Tereza Valentova | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Tereza Valentova | 67c | 21.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 284 | 42.3%120 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Tereza Valentova | 68c | 21.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Tereza Valentova | 73c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 82 | 82.9%68 W · 14 L | +10.1wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.