Cricket · resolved market
ODI Series Jersey vs Nepal: Jersey vs Nepal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07003b1aed1d1d4a60b57f60c08052d72d703d49e6550bb648d362bb432fcbd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nepalof Jersey, Nepal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Jersey | 12c | 463.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Jersey | 8c | 377.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Jersey | 24c | 336.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Jersey | 12c | 299.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Nepal | 79c | 283$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nepal | 78c | 264.91$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Jersey | 13c | 236.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nepal | 76c | 208.62$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…363cbacked Jersey | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Jersey | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Nepal | 80c | 188.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nepal | 73c | 176.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Jersey | 36c | 116.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…73b8backed Jersey | 10c | 115.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…ba60backed Nepal | 75c | 104.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Nepal | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Jersey | 38c | 91.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…e287backed Nepal | 76c | 79.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked Jersey | 22c | 79.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Nepal | 77c | 68.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jersey | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…620ebacked Nepal | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefda…4e3cbacked Nepal | 80c | 52.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Nepal | 62c | 52.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Jersey | 47c | 51.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…dd0dbacked Jersey | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jersey | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Jersey | 27c | 44.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Nepal | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Nepal | 67c | 38.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Nepal | 80c | 34.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…56cfbacked Nepal | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…5c88backed Jersey | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Nepal | 80c | 27.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Nepal | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Nepal | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Nepal | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.