Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brussels: Marvin Moeller vs Dylan Dietrich
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07343496873b3c4b35d9614714257deb634b5ef00b38bf264da0d65b3eb87b12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dylan Dietrichof Marvin Moeller, Dylan Dietrich
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64ae…23c4backed Marvin Moeller | 20c | 1,074$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.61 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dylan Dietrich | 68c | 902.78$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.58 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205a…788bbacked Marvin Moeller | 49c | 822.76$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Dylan Dietrich | 72c | 443.85$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.47 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Marvin Moeller | 22c | 399.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -52%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Dylan Dietrich | 64c | 310.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Marvin Moeller | 45c | 237.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Dylan Dietrich | 78c | 223.2$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1629…f46fbacked Marvin Moeller | 23c | 214.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Dylan Dietrich | 58c | 193.1$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Marvin Moeller | 42c | 176.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Marvin Moeller | 33c | 143.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Marvin Moeller | 29c | 138$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Dylan Dietrich | 58c | 125.83$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dylan Dietrich | 64c | 121.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Marvin Moeller | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Marvin Moeller | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Marvin Moeller | 28c | 88.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Marvin Moeller | 25c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marvin Moeller | 40c | 83.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Dylan Dietrich | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Dylan Dietrich | 58c | 77.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Dylan Dietrich | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Dylan Dietrich | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 316 | 57.3%181 W · 135 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Dylan Dietrich | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Dylan Dietrich | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Dylan Dietrich | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Marvin Moeller | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Marvin Moeller | 28c | 47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Dylan Dietrich | 64c | 46.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Dylan Dietrich | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Marvin Moeller | 41c | 34.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Dylan Dietrich | 57c | 32.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Marvin Moeller | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 372 | 53.8%200 W · 172 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Dylan Dietrich | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Marvin Moeller | 50c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Marvin Moeller | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Dylan Dietrich | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Dylan Dietrich | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…2862backed Dylan Dietrich | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Dylan Dietrich | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Dylan Dietrich | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Dylan Dietrich | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.