Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x076227dfc143afe78c795121fbd811ad9681f319082f7ab532e3020116395e36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pipsqueak+4of Zero Tenacity, Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 15,729$8,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400.72 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Pipsqueak+4 | 53c | 3,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.95 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 48c | 3,129$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.85 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 2,657$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.31 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 51c | 1,875$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.97 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 53c | 1,406$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.78 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 7c | 1,075$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 999.94$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.62 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pipsqueak+4 | 62c | 968.74$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.71 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 900$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.85 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 760$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.8 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Pipsqueak+4 | 43c | 508.91$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.44 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…a49ebacked Zero Tenacity | 28c | 394.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 312.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…793fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 45c | 299.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc636…de88backed Pipsqueak+4 | 77c | 280.52$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 258.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 63c | 216.25$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zero Tenacity | 17c | 206.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 75c | 194.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 42c | 189$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 188.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 180.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2312…016fbacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 180.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Zero Tenacity | 45c | 179.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 158.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 137.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…e599backed Pipsqueak+4 | 74c | 117.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8f20…202dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 102.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 100.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…7deebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 85.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Pipsqueak+4 | 80c | 73.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 73.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Pipsqueak+4 | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…38e4backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 64.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 57.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…12acbacked Zero Tenacity | 33c | 35.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 64c | 34.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 33.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…de7cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Pipsqueak+4 | 73c | 26.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 23.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner Pipsqueak+4 won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner Pipsqueak+4 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.