Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wofford Terriers vs. VMI Keydets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x077bcc0c82ba573aec640cadd399176491a8dd1fcd401ade8bbf397bddf89dbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wofford Terriersof Wofford Terriers, VMI Keydets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked VMI Keydets | 18c | 11,389$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.64 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked VMI Keydets | 15c | 10,152$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.74 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed VMI Keydets | 13c | 3,914$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.79 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VMI Keydets | 16c | 3,614$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked VMI Keydets | 17c | 3,322$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.31 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…d67abacked VMI Keydets | 18c | 3,278$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked VMI Keydets | 12c | 3,140$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.27 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked VMI Keydets | 15c | 2,458$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.64 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed VMI Keydets | 15c | 1,843$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.48 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed VMI Keydets | 13c | 1,356$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.37 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VMI Keydets | 16c | 1,078$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed VMI Keydets | 14c | 1,069$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked VMI Keydets | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…ea6abacked VMI Keydets | 16c | 991$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…6cafbacked VMI Keydets | 16c | 926$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…8720backed VMI Keydets | 16c | 917$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…7743backed VMI Keydets | 16c | 907$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a11…c525backed VMI Keydets | 16c | 708$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed VMI Keydets | 8c | 599.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…3f83backed VMI Keydets | 16c | 484$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed VMI Keydets | 17c | 479$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed VMI Keydets | 16c | 438.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed VMI Keydets | 17c | 352.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VMI Keydets | 14c | 250.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed VMI Keydets | 14c | 232.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed VMI Keydets | 15c | 211.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VMI Keydets | 16c | 208$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed VMI Keydets | 16c | 206.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed VMI Keydets | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed VMI Keydets | 16c | 172$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed VMI Keydets | 16c | 170.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed VMI Keydets | 10c | 153.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed VMI Keydets | 16c | 146.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3b…0114backed VMI Keydets | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bf…87acbacked VMI Keydets | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed VMI Keydets | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed VMI Keydets | 16c | 124.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…a613backed VMI Keydets | 11c | 120.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked VMI Keydets | 14c | 107.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…4ecebacked VMI Keydets | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked VMI Keydets | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed VMI Keydets | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed VMI Keydets | 16c | 91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8db9…c392backed VMI Keydets | 16c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed VMI Keydets | 18c | 81.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked VMI Keydets | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed VMI Keydets | 17c | 63.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wofford Terriers vs. VMI Keydetsthis page
- Spread: Wofford Terriers (-8.5)Wofford Terriers won
- Spread: Wofford Terriers (-9.5)Wofford Terriers won
- Wofford Terriers vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 149.5Under won
- Wofford Terriers vs. VMI Keydets: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.