Asian League · resolved market
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07c92a9c71857177bf83ed784259764f89c23487a0480406dc5553063d9b95cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,106 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 37c | 819.66$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.64 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 763.51$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.94 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 745.45$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.45 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 579.11$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…8abfbacked Under | 47c | 402$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 13c | 370$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…092fbacked Under | 47c | 304$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 288.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.63 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 55c | 282.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f5…8e41backed Over | 53c | 282$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 254.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ca…b207backed Over | 53c | 249$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 242$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 13c | 235$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…51eebacked Under | 47c | 216$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d6…572bbacked Under | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…7ca1backed Under | 47c | 197$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be8…7b99backed Over | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…ba39backed Over | 53c | 175$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…1ab2backed Over | 53c | 168$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d01…2a30backed Over | 53c | 163$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d3…e1bfbacked Over | 53c | 161$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…7f85backed Under | 47c | 157$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd464…7d87backed Under | 47c | 152$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd40e…4194backed Over | 53c | 135$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 44c | 121.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 121.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…853bbacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +186.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 68c | 83.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 73c | 81.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 77c | 74.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 38c | 63.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…9b6abacked Over | 54c | 55.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 44.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 66c | 42.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 46c | 39.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 38.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 706 | 52.3%369 W · 337 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 70c | 36.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 55c | 30.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 45c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 45c | 25.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 47c | 21.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.