Asian League · resolved market
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x080b5d56f3b1376eaeb84e90d6daf4833b59199f652ee37bf76e4751fd343acd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 1,785$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.18 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 1,597$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.96 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 432.72$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.06 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 381.71$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.67 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 50c | 319.36$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.68 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 52c | 295$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 51c | 150.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 24c | 146.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 51c | 139.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 115.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…5ab8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 74c | 98.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 51c | 92.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…92d7backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 73c | 78.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 44c | 74.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 35c | 72.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 35c | 72.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 67.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 35c | 67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 37c | 64.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 60.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed No | 50c | 59.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 37c | 51.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 51c | 48.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 49c | 46.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 40.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…7cccbacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 50c | 36.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 48c | 34.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 28.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 47c | 28.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Yes | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 57c | 18.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.