Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x082718e4cd00ac383766c7298754ce4bc7a23b5bec43f49cd75ce808cc12d074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,489 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 63c | 3,381$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 1,231$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.65 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 21c | 916.89$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 20c | 705.28$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 21c | 668.38$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 396.04$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 73c | 339.46$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 322.34$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.11 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 37c | 320.93$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 36c | 216.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 38c | 198.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 25c | 174$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 139.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 24c | 127.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 24c | 95.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 90.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 83.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 26c | 73.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 20c | 69.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Yes | 15c | 68.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 37c | 68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 15c | 66.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 64c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 35c | 61.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Yes | 37c | 60.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 37c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 37c | 50.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 34c | 48.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Yes | 37c | 38.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked No | 64c | 38.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…ade4backed Yes | 37c | 37.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 37c | 34.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 34.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 32c | 32.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 64c | 30.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Yes | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 13.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-18?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-18?Yes won
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.