Asian League · resolved market
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d796d1653e372973e96cc1b1d9385d150b1e9a771b19efbe5d0b82b1299f5b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,196 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 45c | 689.81$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.32 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 607$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.46 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 15c | 501.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 478.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 59c | 328.72$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.39 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 287.22$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 43c | 245.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 232.53$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.69 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…a54cbacked Yes | 34c | 207$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes | 34c | 118.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 77c | 103.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 37c | 95.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 93.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 50c | 88.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 16c | 87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 66c | 75.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 36c | 69.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 36c | 67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 35c | 42.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 38.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 66c | 36.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 70c | 33.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 31.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 42c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…9368backed Yes | 62c | 27.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 18.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-03-18?this page
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.