Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Guiomar Maristany vs Julie Belgraver
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x087914a37f11e1d24c3d32d68357c41f71213ff741854fb70419a95bb6085a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guiomar Maristanyof Guiomar Maristany, Julie Belgraver
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Julie Belgraver | 9c | 741.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Julie Belgraver | 20c | 684.9$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb369…0c39backed Guiomar Maristany | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…44f2backed Julie Belgraver | 22c | 445.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Julie Belgraver | 18c | 426.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Julie Belgraver | 29c | 334.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Guiomar Maristany | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Julie Belgraver | 19c | 227.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Julie Belgraver | 19c | 198.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Julie Belgraver | 7c | 167.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Guiomar Maristany | 79c | 129.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Guiomar Maristany | 73c | 128$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Guiomar Maristany | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Guiomar Maristany | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Julie Belgraver | 18c | 115.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Julie Belgraver | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Guiomar Maristany | 74c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Julie Belgraver | 24c | 73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Guiomar Maristany | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Guiomar Maristany | 72c | 58.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Guiomar Maristany | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Guiomar Maristany | 80c | 13.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.