Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Daniil Glinka vs Benjamin Bonzi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08b592b7c59bc87834a7ca317dcca7ad95398daa5bedeefdc7a120fc3fced722
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bonziof Glinka, Bonzi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0813…8e62backed Glinka | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Bonzi | 62c | 10,090$6,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.38 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Glinka | 38c | 5,231$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.38 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Glinka | 38c | 2,558$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.57 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Glinka | 39c | 2,064$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.13 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Bonzi | 52c | 1,586$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.73 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Glinka | 47c | 1,081$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Glinka | 17c | 562.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…6fd3backed Bonzi | 68c | 377$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Glinka | 42c | 366.1$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.71 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Glinka | 36c | 350.85$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.02 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Glinka | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Bonzi | 65c | 221.45$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Glinka | 32c | 191.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Glinka | 38c | 190.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Glinka | 32c | 170.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Glinka | 37c | 162.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Glinka | 32c | 159.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Bonzi | 70c | 155.13$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Bonzi | 69c | 145.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Bonzi | 71c | 141.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Bonzi | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Bonzi | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Glinka | 35c | 86.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Glinka | 32c | 86.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Glinka | 40c | 78.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Glinka | 38c | 65.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Glinka | 34c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bonzi | 62c | 55.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Bonzi | 61c | 48.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Bonzi | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Bonzi | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Bonzi | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Glinka | 37c | 37.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Bonzi | 66c | 36.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked Bonzi | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Glinka | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…400fbacked Bonzi | 68c | 32.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Bonzi | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…0dbcbacked Bonzi | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Glinka | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Bonzi | 62c | 19.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Bonzi | 72c | 16.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Bonzi | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille: Daniil Glinka vs Benjamin Bonzithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Glinka vs BonziBonzi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.