CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08bb72ae396041dd6c31106208da4adcf3dc431b933cd15fa657a0500fd0a054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof Eternal Fire, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Eternal Fire | 0c | 5,640$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed FlyQuest | 75c | 1,033$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.77 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Eternal Fire | 25c | 988$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FlyQuest | 71c | 711.17$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.24 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313e…caecbacked Eternal Fire | 10c | 683.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Eternal Fire | 25c | 506.67$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed FlyQuest | 74c | 372.32$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FlyQuest | 75c | 329.24$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Eternal Fire | 29c | 321$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Eternal Fire | 26c | 311.21$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 306.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 259.62$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Eternal Fire | 18c | 239$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Eternal Fire | 29c | 225.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 217.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire | 23c | 208$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fc…ad4bbacked FlyQuest | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…34debacked Eternal Fire | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Eternal Fire | 27c | 161.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FlyQuest | 72c | 138.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eternal Fire | 25c | 119.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire | 22c | 116.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Eternal Fire | 15c | 98.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Eternal Fire | 25c | 97.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Eternal Fire | 32c | 78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…a2f1backed Eternal Fire | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed FlyQuest | 71c | 51.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Eternal Fire | 28c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Eternal Fire | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed FlyQuest | 52c | 39.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed FlyQuest | 27c | 38.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.27per pick | 15cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…3b62backed Eternal Fire | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed FlyQuest | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked FlyQuest | 74c | 15.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs FlyQuest - Map 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.