Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bradley Braves vs. George Washington Revolutionaries (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09352cc99cc30517083992d6bd849d3db82f215255bf7b393f60d5b402246399
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- George Washington Revolutionariesof Bradley Braves, George Washington Revolutionaries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,753 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bradley Braves | 36c | 2,234$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 63c | 1,698$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.23 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 62c | 330.92$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.73 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 54c | 281.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.17 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 39c | 164.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Bradley Braves | 41c | 118.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Bradley Braves | 38c | 111.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Bradley Braves | 61c | 70.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Bradley Braves | 74c | 64.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Bradley Braves | 36c | 52.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bradley Braves | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdeb…8cd1backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 48c | 34.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 59c | 24.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 66c | 20.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Bradley Braves | 66c | 19.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…ce1bbacked Bradley Braves | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.