Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs Teichmann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x094bc3b56e9277226729b7a06ec8ad30d9e860bc259b4fb4e8495d5049aea896
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Andreeva, Teichmann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Teichmann | 35c | 604.24$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.66 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Teichmann | 18c | 455.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Teichmann | 37c | 419.84$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.63 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Teichmann | 17c | 412.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Andreeva | 65c | 382.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Andreeva | 60c | 380$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Andreeva | 74c | 348.29$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Teichmann | 29c | 345.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Teichmann | 25c | 250.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Teichmann | 22c | 247.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…8613backed Andreeva | 62c | 161.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Andreeva | 80c | 138.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…a67dbacked Andreeva | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…6a9fbacked Andreeva | 68c | 110.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e36…86c7backed Teichmann | 20c | 102.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Teichmann | 33c | 95.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Teichmann | 23c | 78.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Teichmann | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Andreeva | 72c | 60.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a48…ba21backed Andreeva | 67c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Teichmann | 37c | 57.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Teichmann | 37c | 54.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Andreeva | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Andreeva | 70c | 42.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…fc07backed Andreeva | 72c | 41.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Andreeva | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Andreeva | 71c | 26.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs Teichmannthis page
- Andreeva vs. Teichmann: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Andreeva vs. Teichmann: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Mirra Andreeva vs. Jil Teichmann: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil TeichmannMirra Andreeva won
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Teichmann (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.