Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0963b9ff08326fb98d9fd45197935927f47ab117ba6663fe83d19823a37214b2

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,845
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,771

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,845 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xba43…c6c0backed Over	57c	4,310$2,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,840.5	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under	57c	1,901$1,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,083.38	1,482	50%741 W · 741 L	+65.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed Under	42c	1,851$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.39	95	33.7%32 W · 63 L	-9.7wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Over	43c	995.45$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.41	621	51.4%319 W · 302 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Under	58c	864.52$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.42	239	46%110 W · 129 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over	42c	702.28$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$407.32	445	38.2%170 W · 275 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over	42c	500.1$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.06	245	43.3%106 W · 139 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Over	77c	418.4$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.37	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	43c	406$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.42	252	42.5%107 W · 145 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under	47c	303.31$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.02	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked Under	42c	297.61$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	196	37.8%74 W · 122 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Under	58c	236.21$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	282	53.5%151 W · 131 L	+11.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under	23c	233.89$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.59	972	54.3%528 W · 444 L	+46.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over	43c	220$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.4	746	37.9%283 W · 463 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed Under	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	162	43.8%71 W · 91 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed Under	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	198	46%91 W · 107 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7049…85a5backed Under	42c	200$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	214	39.3%84 W · 130 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6374…6408backed Under	42c	190$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.8	186	38.7%72 W · 114 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Under	42c	180$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	254	40.2%102 W · 152 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Under	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	569	49.4%281 W · 288 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under	42c	150$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	580	42.4%246 W · 334 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Under	42c	142.79$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.97	273	48%131 W · 142 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under	42c	124$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.08	828	36.4%301 W · 527 L	-41.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under	14c	121.29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.68	1,133	31.1%352 W · 781 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8c…dc39backed Over	43c	116.28$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.28	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Under	61c	97$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.06	347	42.1%146 W · 201 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba4…f918backed Under	42c	71.42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	200	40.5%81 W · 119 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked Under	42c	71.42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	198	38.9%77 W · 121 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4041…60f0backed Under	42c	71.42$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	165	43%71 W · 94 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under	72c	52.94$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.29	704	43.9%309 W · 395 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4290…af07backed Over	44c	45.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.45	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	133	50.4%67 W · 66 L	-14.8wins	-0.11per pick	62cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over	43c	40$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	617	46.5%287 W · 330 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	60c	37.48$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.36	1,459	43.3%632 W · 827 L	-33.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under	76c	34.7$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.27	1,168	66.1%772 W · 396 L	+69.1wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Under	44c	32.15$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.26	139	41.7%58 W · 81 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Over	44c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	82	45.1%37 W · 45 L	+7.4wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+30%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under	43c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	155	23.9%37 W · 118 L	-20.2wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	43c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd16b…36c0backed Under	62c	24.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	478	54%258 W · 220 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Under	43c	23.26$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	254	36.6%93 W · 161 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Under	71c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	79	38%30 W · 49 L	-9.0wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-34%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6202…c297backed Over	56c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.7	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under	70c	16.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	464	52.4%243 W · 221 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over	78c	16$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.52	221	65.6%145 W · 76 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+52.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	64c	15.58$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.02	2,497	39.9%996 W · 1,501 L	-75.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
First Blood in Game 1?Movistar KOI won
First Blood in Game 2?Movistar KOI won
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)Team Vitality won
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event